Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Coronavirus Update #9 - Some Graphic Information

Courtesy https://twistedsifter.com
Since this mess began, I've been keeping track of the daily totals - as best as I can. BC doesn't post their totals on Sunday and my Canada totals depend on what time of day I check. 

However, there are some trends that seem to be happening. 


First, this graph shows the Canada and BC cases compared. Canada's cases don't look overly terrible - at least the line doesn't go not straight up. There might be even a slight lessening of the steeples of the curve. If social distancing continues to be practiced, this might actually continue to get better. Other websites I've seen have shown different countries infection rates compared and, at least now, it looks like there is some hope for Canada. 

When you look at the graph for BC, it looks like we're in fantastic shape. However, when you look at BC's numbers alone....


Well, it's not looking quite as good. However, it does look like the numbers are not increasing in steepness. As Dr. Henry said, we are going to have to wait for a couple of weeks to really see if we are going to mitigate our numbers enough to make a difference.

Finally there's this....


This shows the change each day of cases in BC. There are some anomalies in the graph due to BC not reporting on Sunday. There is also the big spike when the province was catching up with testing. 

It looks to me that the number of cases increasing each day is starting to reduce somewhat. However this doesn't take in account if there is insufficient testing or other variations. There may be a number of people that have not been tested and the government is not aware of them and so are not included in the numbers. 

Only time will tell. 

In the meantime, I try not to worry. I have an 85 year old father-in-law with several health conditions, a son-in-law with asthma, and several other relatives that have varying health issues - including myself (asthma and high blood pressure). 

But I am focusing on other things. I'm finishing off taking two Spanish courses at the local college, painting, doing a different household job everyday, walking, blogging, and watching a fair bit of Netflix (season 3 of Ozark is highly recommended). 

We will continue to stay at home as much as possible, keep our hockey stick (2m) distance when not, and wash, wash, wash our hands. 

And hope. 


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